Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.007638 0.008581 0.009610 0.010819 0.012204 0.013745 0.015594
2025-02-02 0.006362 0.007696 0.009281 0.011312 0.013865 0.016988 0.021130
2025-02-09 0.005452 0.006918 0.008756 0.011253 0.014592 0.018951 0.025155
2025-02-16 0.004876 0.006429 0.008465 0.011366 0.015450 0.021085 0.029603
2025-02-23 0.004343 0.005911 0.008043 0.011204 0.015854 0.022579 0.033291
2025-03-02 0.004009 0.005615 0.007874 0.011346 0.016667 0.024710 0.038175
2025-03-09 0.003668 0.005268 0.007584 0.011262 0.017104 0.026293 0.042387
2025-03-16 0.003282 0.004814 0.007087 0.010796 0.016876 0.026773 0.044805
2025-03-23 0.003049 0.004565 0.006873 0.010743 0.017287 0.028318 0.049248
2025-03-30 0.002965 0.004538 0.006993 0.011231 0.018643 0.031611 0.057320
2025-04-06 0.002715 0.004226 0.006631 0.010879 0.018501 0.032237 0.060432
2025-04-13 0.002504 0.003959 0.006319 0.010577 0.018409 0.032929 0.063755
2025-04-20 0.002355 0.003791 0.006169 0.010566 0.018885 0.034816 0.069991
2025-04-27 0.002300 0.003776 0.006279 0.011035 0.020328 0.038798 0.081464
2025-05-04 0.002165 0.003612 0.006116 0.010978 0.020737 0.040745 0.088758
2025-05-11 0.002068 0.003507 0.006045 0.011088 0.021487 0.043497 0.098441
2025-05-18 0.001943 0.003340 0.005848 0.010930 0.021662 0.045020 0.105408
2025-05-25 0.001867 0.003260 0.005803 0.011068 0.022476 0.048077 0.116867
2025-06-01 0.001771 0.003131 0.005657 0.010986 0.022799 0.050045 0.125851
2025-06-08 0.001637 0.002925 0.005347 0.010534 0.022243 0.049850 0.128853
2025-06-15 0.001560 0.002823 0.005231 0.010482 0.022595 0.051916 0.138724
2025-06-22 0.001547 0.002840 0.005354 0.010957 0.024237 0.057460 0.160137
2025-06-29 0.001448 0.002685 0.005117 0.010614 0.023874 0.057765 0.165496